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Notre Dame series, future Texas non-conference games in limbo due to CFP unknowns

Chris Del Conte and Steve Sarkisian have been in lockstep regarding Texas’ non-conference football schedule.

The Longhorns will honor their home-and-home agreements with Ohio State and Michigan, with the Buckeyes coming to Royal-Texas Memorial Stadium on Sept. 12 and the Wolverines heading to town on Sept. 11, 2027. Beyond those two return bouts from marquee non-conference games played during the 2024 (a resounding 31-12 victory over the reigning national champions at the Big House) and 2025 (a 14-7 loss in the Horseshoe) seasons, nothing is set in stone.

That includes a scheduled home-and-home with Notre Dame.

Texas is scheduled to travel to South Bend in 2028, while the Fighting Irish are scheduled to travel to Austin in 2029. At the SEC spring meetings in Destin on Wednesday, Del Conte indicated the Longhorns aren’t locked into what would be the 13th and 14th all-time meetings between two of college football’s most iconic brands.

“They’re tentatively on the schedule right now,” Del Conte said.

Given the uncertainty surrounding the future format and access into the College Football Playoff, Texas is in a tough spot regarding the two scheduled games with the Irish.

The school’s television partners (ESPN and NBC) wouldn’t hesitate to put the Longhorns and Notre Dame in primetime. The 2015 meeting — a 38-3 loss for Texas during a Saturday night season opener in South Bend — was seen by 4.1 million viewers on NBC. The 2016 game in Austin — a memorable 50-47 double-overtime triumph played on Sunday night during Labor Day weekend — drew more than 10.9 million viewers on ABC, making it the fourth most-watched college football game of the season.

Still, if CFP expansion doesn’t appropriately reward teams willing to schedule tough non-conference games, there’s no incentive for Texas to schedule Notre Dame or another high-level power conference opponent.

CFP executive director Rich Clark went through the CFP selection process on Tuesday. The exercise didn’t significantly clear things up for Del Conte, who saw the Longhorns rewarded for scheduling Alabama and Michigan in 2023 and 2024, only to be excluded from the 12-team field last season due, in large part, to suffering a season-opening road loss at the hands of Ohio State.

“It's hard to determine what the metrics are as a 9-3 and 10-2 schedule to say, these guys [won] 10 games, but they lost to these two teams. [Are they] better than a team that lost three games and didn't just schedule who they played?” Del Conte said. “I need more clarity on that.

“It's part of the criteria,” he added. “It's hard to determine how it's being considered because you also have human nature in the room.”

Del Conte didn’t make any not-so-thinly-veiled references to Texas Tech, like the one Sarkisian made last Thursday in Houston. What was missed amid Red Raider nation taking umbrage with Sarkisian’s comments to an audience of staunch Longhorn supporters, however, is what Del Conte echoed on Tuesday: the reality that the lack of equitable scheduling in college football eliminates the incentive to play non-conference games against the Big Ten and SEC opponents Texas has had on the schedule in each of Sarkisian’s five seasons as head coach.

“One of the things that makes college football great is your non-conference schedule and what your regular season is,” Del Conte said. “When you play in games of that nature, you should get rewarded for that. When you have a really watered-down schedule — and the thing that gets college football so different is not every schedule is the same. In the NFL, you know exactly what it is — there's 32 teams, they play it all out correctly. In our sport, it's hard to judge one league from the next in terms of their strength of schedule and who you play. It was great for us to have our coaches hear what they look for, but you also left there murky as hell, too.”

Although Greg Sankey said on Wednesday that a 16-team CFP is the format the SEC prefers, schools will continue to cancel future games against Power Four opponents until a new format is agreed upon. To that end, Del Conte didn’t commit to preferring the 12-team format, but he indicated he doesn’t want the powers that be to expand for the sake of expanding.

“It’s changed so quickly,” Del Conte said, noting college football went from using the BCS to crown a national champion to a four-team playoff to the current 12-team format in the span of 12 seasons (2013-24). “We’re in our second year of that opportunity. I do think there needs to be some time to see how this plays out, but in the NFL, there’s 32 teams — 14 make it. In Major League Baseball, there’s 30 teams and 17 make it. The percentages — you look at the NBA (16 of 30 teams make the playoffs, with the last four spots in each conference determined by a series of play-in games).

“I think it’s right for people to ask what the right number is, but at the end of the day, I’m also looking at it that we have young kids that, if you’re not playing in the playoff, they’re not playing in the bowl game,” he added. “They’re looking for different opportunities with how the transfer portal works now. We’ve had so much change in such a short amount of time that I do think we need a little bit of time to evaluate that. It’s not just, ‘Hey! Let’s jump to this!’”

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Tres Comas

Supporters
29 minutes ago, Jeff Howe said:

 

Sark came with receipts

TheContractor12

Supporters
4 hours ago, HonkEm said:

I get the logic, but that’s exactly the problem -Texas shouldn’t have to choose between great home games and the playoff. We’re Texas. We can walk and chew gum. I’ll take Ohio State in the winter and Michigan/Notre Dame in September.

If the CFP punishes teams for scheduling real opponents, then the CFP is broken. Fans shouldn’t have to sit through Rice/UTSA/Wyoming just because the committee can’t evaluate strength of schedule. Fix the system so Texas can keep scheduling like Texas.

thats not a smart mentality. it cost us a playoff spot in 2025 and will again in the future. If you continue to bash your head against a system that is against you, its on you then

TheContractor12

Supporters

pay the $500k and get out of ND 2 game home and home. Make the playoff, Play ND in December when their SOS will be in the 60s 

horns96

Supporters

Drop ND for UMHB.  Everyone is happy.

harveycmd

Members

We need more on the genius of Marcus Freeman. Maybe he's a scheduling wizard as well.

Thanos72

Supporters

Let’s not be the best team, let’s be the best scheduled team!!! Sec sec sec

What starts here, changes to a weaker schedule…

MarkInAustin

Supporters

While there are teams outside the B1G and SEC that play big boy football and produce lots of NFL players they are not playing schedules full of other similarly talented teams.  In a typical season probably 2/3 of the playoff teams should come from the two major conferences and 1/3 from the rest of the football world, and I think the computer rankings would bear that out.  

As some have already posted, computer rankings should probably be paramount for the playoffs.  Then both the B1G and the SEC teams would feel free to schedule a marquee OOC game every season.  USC and ND would resume.  Texas could play tOSU, Michigan, or Penn State again.  Florida would not be disadvantaged for having Miami and Fl St OOC.

If 'Bama chose all patsies it would work against them, not for them.

In a rational world.

Tuco Ramirez

Supporters

The SEC should go to a 5 game conference schedule then play the rest of their games ravaging the lower tier of the weakest conferences. Then it’s an all SEC CFP. Winning! 

Judd_Irby

Supporters
14 hours ago, HonkEm said:

I get the logic, but that’s exactly the problem -Texas shouldn’t have to choose between great home games and the playoff. We’re Texas. We can walk and chew gum. I’ll take Ohio State in the winter and Michigan/Notre Dame in September.

If the CFP punishes teams for scheduling real opponents, then the CFP is broken. Fans shouldn’t have to sit through Rice/UTSA/Wyoming just because the committee can’t evaluate strength of schedule. Fix the system so Texas can keep scheduling like Texas.

I agree with you. I would add that the playoff committee has taken strength of schedule into account in some fashion, even though we can’t decipher what the criteria is.  Take Baylor’s 2014 team.  They opened with a 45-0 win over SMU, followed by a 70-6 win over NWST in week 2.  I week 3 they won 63-21 over Buffalo.  They later beat UT 28-7 and beat TCU, the league’s co-champion 61-58. Overall they finished 11-1.  But the committee, citing SOS, deemed that Baylor should not be included in the top four even though the top four included three one loss teams (Alabama, Oregon, and Ohio State) and an undefeated FSU team.  So the committee somehow did factor in SOS.  I think the real issue is clarity of the SOS, and how it is weighted in the overall analysis.  I would really hate to see losing the thrill of in-season marquee intersectional match-ups because the SOS is inconsistent and opaque.  

Burnt Orange Horn

Supporters
11 hours ago, TheContractor12 said:

thats not a smart mentality. it cost us a playoff spot in 2025 and will again in the future. If you continue to bash your head against a system that is against you, its on you then

What is schedule integrity?

How many seats will be filled for a Prairie View football game?

Burnt Orange Horn

Supporters
11 hours ago, TheContractor12 said:

thats not a smart mentality. it cost us a playoff spot in 2025 and will again in the future. If you continue to bash your head against a system that is against you, its on you then

One has to hold the CFP Committee responsible.  The NCAA, the SEC, ESPN nor Texas is not.  If no one comes them to perform their charged duty with competence, then it is time to move on.

Submitting to institutionalized incompetence is not a solution.

🤘🏻🤘🏼🤘🤘🏽🤘🏾🤘🏿

TheContractor12

Supporters
8 hours ago, Burnt Orange Horn said:

What is schedule integrity?

How many seats will be filled for a Prairie View football game?

didnt know your job was selling tickets...and even if it was Baylor is not PVU. We sold out in Big12, we will be fine without ND or Ohio St as a non-con once in 2 year game. 

TheContractor12

Supporters
8 hours ago, Burnt Orange Horn said:

One has to hold the CFP Committee responsible.  The NCAA, the SEC, ESPN nor Texas is not.  If no one comes them to perform their charged duty with competence, then it is time to move on.

Submitting to institutionalized incompetence is not a solution.

🤘🏻🤘🏼🤘🤘🏽🤘🏾🤘🏿

getting left out bc thats the way the system is is not a solution, thats the big problem. NCAA has sucked at everything for 50+ years, nothing has changed. the bill , if passed, still wont change SOS inclusion. if SOS is not included, you are kicking yourself in the ass scheduling ND when Baylor or Houston or Boston College is there. Play the big boys you will, just not in Sept but in Dec. 

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