The Kalshi odds on Brendan Sorsby declaring for the 2026 NFL Supplemental Draft have taken a wicked turn following the hearings this morning.

At 10:00 am this morning, the odds sat north of 83% to enter the Supplemental Draft.

As of posting (1:15 pm), those odds sit at 13%.

 

Because I’m an idiot  explain it to me like I’m 5 

It means people who put money into Kalshi don't understand the federal court system.

Lol, money talks

Suggests Sorsby likely to be allowed to play at TT this season. 

total volume on this is less than 10k. one large bet sways the odds heavily

Source of bets: 100% people related to Sorsby

Better check all of Sorsby's cousin's accounts.

20 minutes ago, Joe Zura said:

Because I’m an idiot  explain it to me like I’m 5 

Then you splain it to me Joe

8 minutes ago, CHorn427 said:

Source of bets: 100% people related to Sorsby

Lol probably the case.

16 minutes ago, Jerky said:

Suggests Sorsby likely to be allowed to play at TT this season. 

This is all crazy to me.

12 minutes ago, CHorn427 said:

Source of bets: 100% people related to Sorsby

Using money he wired to them 😁

Now back up to 38%.

It was mentioned above, but not a ton of volume, so fluid odds movement.

4 minutes ago, CJ Vogel said:

Now back up to 38%.

It was mentioned above, but not a ton of volume, so fluid odds movement.

Sorsby with one last parlay before he has to update his LinkedIn

Because the Tech Board On3 Staff  has been sending out what's been happening in the case, quotes from both sides in real time.

Probably believe Kessler  Sorsby 's attorney made better points. It is in a recess now. Who knows , but from reading both sides won't be surprised if they get an injunction. Hope like hell they don't . They did ask for a decision before June 15. There may be more after the recess.

I’d explain it to the judge like this. They proved you (the judge) took money to set people free in your own courtroom than continued to do it as you changed courts. You were caught and then asked to just keep on presiding over trials because you admitted it and went to therapy. 

3 minutes ago, TTown said:

Because the Tech Board On3 Staff  has been sending out what's been happening in the case, quotes from both sides in real time.

Probably believe Kessler  Sorsby 's attorney made better points. It is in a recess now. Who knows , but from reading both sides won't be surprised if they get an injunction. Hope like hell they don't . They did ask for a decision before June 15. There may be more after the recess.

There aren't any points for Kessler to make. Sorby's feelings about betting on his own team are legally irrelevant. Even if the judge tries to pull a weird one, the Fifth Circuit will shut it down.

3 minutes ago, harveycmd said:

There aren't any points for Kessler to make. Sorby's feelings about betting on his own team are legally irrelevant. Even if the judge tries to pull a weird one, the Fifth Circuit will shut it down.

Exactly! I mean seriously what are we doing here?!?! This is an absolute joke. 

Just now, Alex Butler said:

Exactly! I mean seriously what are we doing here?!?! This is an absolute joke. 

As I've said before, there is no connection between this case and the previous eligibility cases, House case, and Supreme Court decision that forced NIL. Goober sports reporters who think there is don't know anything about the federal court system. No sports league or sports association in the world allows players to bet on their own games.

 

 

 

 

14 minutes ago, harveycmd said:

There aren't any points for Kessler to make. Sorby's feelings about betting on his own team are legally irrelevant. Even if the judge tries to pull a weird one, the Fifth Circuit will shut it down.

This is not in federal court. It is in Lubbock County court.  Fifth Circuit court of appeals hears federal appeals and the Texas appellate courts hear Texas appeals. 

7 minutes ago, harveycmd said:

As I've said before, there is no connection between this case and the previous eligibility cases, House case, and Supreme Court decision that forced NIL. Goober sports reporters who think there is don't know anything about the federal court system. No sports league or sports association in the world allows players to bet on their own games.

Exactly, what world are we living in that this is even a discussion?! Tech’s argument (whining more like it) as I see it is: “we paid a guy a lot of money to come play QB for us and we didn’t do our due diligence and he broke the rules. It’s not fair that we paid this money and now he’s in trouble and can’t play.”

37 minutes ago, PaulieD said:

Then you splain it to me Joe

Yo!!!

I previously read it was federal court, but I just looked it up and see it is a Texas state court. That could throw nutjobism into it for a while. Ultimately the result will be the same.