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Steamboat Willie

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Everything posted by Steamboat Willie

  1. I’m not here to canonize private equity. Nobody’s confusing Bain Capital with the Peace Corps. But comparing PE in college football to the USFL is kind of like comparing a restaurant remodel to a meteor strike. Same universe, wildly different stakes. The USFL face-planted because a handful of billionaires tried to cosplay NFL owners overnight. Private equity doesn’t do cosplay. It does spreadsheets, leverage, and “please sign here so we can fire half your department.” Good? Bad? Depends whose ox is getting gored. What PE does reliably is take systems already drifting toward semi-pro reality and say out loud what everyone else is whispering: “You people are running a nine-figure entertainment product with the governance structure of a church bake sale.” That’s why this is happening. Not because PE is noble — but because college football created a vacuum big enough to pull in capital, lawyers, and consultants like a tractor beam. Will they get it right? Maybe. Will they price things “correctly”? Only if you think “correctly” means “in a way that maximizes returns and occasionally detonates traditions.” But here’s one place we definitely agree: Give it time — because nobody breaks things faster than private equity except college football trying to “fix” itself.
  2. The playoff committee didn’t just bend college football — they faceplanted into it and then blamed the turf. They spent years preaching “strength of schedule matters,” then quietly revealed the real rule is “count the losses and stop thinking.” So now Georgia and Bama aren’t “scared,” they’re just doing math… and the math says cancel anything fun, risky, or remotely watchable. Congrats, committee. You’ve turned September into preseason, neutered marquee OOC games, and taught everyone that scheduling courage is for suckers. If this is “smart football,” then college football just outsourced its soul to an Excel spreadsheet
  3. Private equity isn’t the cartoon villain some want it to be — but let’s also not pretend it’s Santa Claus with a balance sheet. PE does one thing extremely well: it professionalizes chaos. If an athletic department is already drifting toward employee compensation, revenue sharing, and semi-pro reality, PE just stops the pretending and prices it correctly. That alone makes people uncomfortable, because it replaces vibes with math. That doesn’t make it automatically good, and it definitely doesn’t make it automatically evil. It means incentives get sharper, accountability gets real, and nostalgia gets evicted. Some fans call that “destroying the sport.” Others call it finally admitting what the sport already is. The real risk isn’t private equity showing up — it’s schools wandering around in this half-legal, half-amateur gray zone with no structure and acting shocked when something snaps. Utah at least seems to be saying the quiet part out loud and trying to build guardrails instead of pretending 2012 still exists. No, this isn’t the USFL. No, it’s not BASEketball. It’s college football admitting it’s a business — and now arguing over who gets the keys, who sets the rules, and who gets paid first.
  4. Nice move for him. That’s a clear step up and good for his résumé. Also… if one staffer leaving “hurts” Texas, then the whole operation was way more duct-taped together than anyone wants to admit — and that’s simply not how Sark runs things. This program isn’t dependent on one guy with a spreadsheet. It’s layered, it’s resourced, and it’s built to reload. If anything, this is just an opportunity to modernize or upgrade the role even more for the portal/NIL era. Wish him well. Replace him. Move on.
  5. This portal cycle is already screaming one thing: availability ≠ fit. There’s a lot of movement, a lot of names, and a lot of folks getting excited because a recruiting profile exists. But Texas shouldn’t be shopping for interesting—we should be shopping for transformative. As Bobby and Gerry like to say: is the juice worth the squeeze? If the answer isn’t “this fixes a real problem immediately,” keep scrolling. A rotational DT who looks like three guys we already have? No squeeze. A WR who replicates what’s already in the room? Minimal juice. An OL who can’t move people off the ball? We’ve seen that movie. The only portal additions that matter right now are: trench players who change the physical tone a RB who actually scares defenses veterans who reduce downside, not add learning curves This is Arch’s window. Not a rebuild. Not a science experiment. Take fewer swings. Make them violent.
  6. Definitely wasn’t fully recovered this year, the question becomes: will he ever return to his pre-injury form?
  7. Everyone’s acting like the new 105-scholarship rule means Texas can suddenly bankroll a small army. Reality check: you can roster 105 guys, but you can’t pay 105 guys. Revenue sharing = a soft salary cap. NIL = still the hunger games. So what actually happens? Texas funds the top half of the roster, stashes projects in the bottom half, and the portal becomes a revolving door for anyone who realizes they’re in the “thanks for being here” tier. The new rule doesn’t create 20 more paid contributors — it just gives Texas 20 more lottery tickets. And Texas loves lottery tickets. Hook ’em.
  8. Follow-up thought: This is exactly why the portal matters more for OL than any other position. You’re not just buying size — you’re buying reps, scar tissue, and communication under fire. Those things don’t show up in 7-on-7 camps or Rivals stars. High school OL are projects. Portal OL are products. Both matter — but only one saves you next September. And to be fair, Sark finally sounds like he gets that balance. He’s not talking about “potential” right now — he’s talking about solving problems. That’s progress. If we walk out of this portal window with: 2 interior starters who can communicate 1 swing tackle who won’t panic and no more build-a-bear experiments at guard… Then this whole debate disappears by mid-October. Until then — I’ll stay, hopeful, and fully ready to overreact
  9. Portal wish list this year is simple: smart + nasty > just massive. Size without diagnosis is just expensive cardio. When the line finally settled this season, it wasn’t because we suddenly got stronger — it’s because guys actually understood their assignments and could pass off movement without turning the backfield into a demolition derby. OL is five brains acting as one. If the communication is bad, it doesn’t matter how big you are — you’re wrong fast and wrong loud. I’m excited and optimistic about going shopping for 3 portal starters if they can think, talk, and adjust. Zone lives on timing and trust, not weight-room leaderboards. Credit to Sark: he saw the problem, stabilized the season, and — for the first time in a long time — is talking portal priorities like someone who actually watched the same OL tape we did. If 9–3 is the floor now, I’ll take it. We’ve lived through worse. Now go kick the tires on the Colorado LT. Make him tell us no. Then keep dialing. Go get grown men who can play chess at 320.
  10. Not saying anyone’s going anywhere, but it sure would be interesting to watch Bishop return punts next year!
  11. As Texas odds rocket (+4000 → +590) isn’t the committee whispering sweet nothings — it’s degens, hope, and hedge money fighting in the streets. Tonight comes down to one stupid number: #12 = Chaos alive. Pulse detected. Drinks stay cold. #13 = It’s dead. Start drawing up 2026 mock drafts. No narratives. No feelings. If we’re 13, the committee already wrote the eulogy. If we’re 12… light the candle and pray for meteor strikes.
  12. #1 Interior OL: Every G/C with a heartbeat should be on the board. C + LG have been a weekly horror show. Do what we did at DL last year: 2 real starters, 1–2 developmental guys, move on. #2 RB: If Baugh hits the portal, that’s the whole meeting. Lacy too. We don’t need another “nice rotational back” after what we just watched—go get a bellcow or stand pat. #3 WR (only if it’s real): Not spending big NIL on “slightly better Mosley” types when OL is on fire. If we pay at WR, make it speed or a true WR1, not another Wingo cousin. Everything else: 1 ILB, 1 vet CB, maybe a blocking TE—cool, after the above is handled. Those are sides. The meal is OL + RB. Portal tampering already started, the rules are decorative, and chaos is the only constant. Buckle up.
  13. CJ, positionally speaking, where do you think Texas will emphasize most in the portal this cycle — and which spots are now clear must-add versus luxury adds?
  14. Nothing about this feels like a light portal cycle. The breadcrumbs say Texas is gearing up for a full correction year. The back-channeling alone suggests this is already moving before the portal even opens. RB still needs a true lead dog. OL needs immediate adults, not projects — at least two guards and a swing tackle. DB and safety are clearly on the shopping list too. Also, a big DL. That’s not patchwork. That’s structural repair. This roster isn’t getting “tuned up” in January. It’s getting remechanized. Now the only question that matters: does the staff finally cash the right checks on the right players?
  15. This cycle is portal or bust. If we’re “punting” on a big HS close, then Sark better roll into the portal like a Jeff Bezos drunk at an art auction. We don’t need projects. We need grown men: RB, two OL, at least one DB, a safety who can tackle, and a LB who scares people. Arch’s window is right now, not after three developmental seasons and a prayer. The difference isn’t money — it’s hitting on the buys. Spend big, evaluate better, and stop pretending last year’s portal nap was some 4D chess move. CJ basically told us it’s about to be an overcorrection — good. Overcorrect hard. Bottom line: If we don’t come out of this portal cycle with multiple instant starters, then we’re officially wasting a once-in-a-generation QB. .
  16. No one’s dunking on Trey, but he ain’t Bijan, and asking him to cosplay as Bijan behind an interior line that blocks like a bunch of athletically challenged 50 yr old men playing Twister is just cruel. Last year Sark had Blue keeping defenses honest and ripping explosives. This year it’s Trey versus the world, and the world is winning by committee. And yeah, imagining Bijan in ’23 or ’24? That’s the kind of pain that makes you stare out the window like you’re in a sad country song. Bottom line: Trey can be part of the answer next year, but he can’t be the whole answer. Somebody in that room has to take a leap, or we need to drag a fully grown man out of the portal, one who doesn’t need perfect blocking to get five yards and can make a DB question his life choices. Arch can’t be the run game and the escape artist and the savior.
  17. Was super impressed with the fluidness of his footwork on a couple of the hudl plays.
  18. Texas either: Buys a real SEC offensive line Buys a grown-man running back who can create yards without a séance Buys multiple DBs, including a starting-caliber safety who actually takes clean angles and plays the ball And attacks the portal like a blue-blood, not a bargain hunter… …or 2026 becomes “Arch Manning: A Documentary About Running for Your Life.” The championship window isn’t creeping open. It’s open right now — wide, bright, and waiting. Either we jump through it… or the SEC slams it shut.
  19. has been a while!!!!
  20. Texas has to thread the needle between high-school recruiting and the portal, and the margin for error is thin: We must fix the OL with multiple proven guards. We must add a real RB1 from the portal. We must grab starting-level help at CB, S, and LB. And we still have to keep taking smart, long-term OL projects in HS. The portal won’t be cheap, and the staff can’t pretend high school and NIL/portal pools are separate anymore — they’re pulling from the same bank account. Think of it this way: Ohio State won last year’s title in December. Texas lost this year’s run the same way. If Texas is serious about winning a national title in Arch’s final season, this offseason is where it happens. No excuses. No “we ran out of NIL.” No half-measures. This is the fix the roster or waste the window moment.
  21. So there will be no development on offense of current players?

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