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Snap Judgments: Texas defies the odds and saves its season with a 45-38 overtime win over Mississippi State

When Davon Booth reeled in a shovel pass from Blake Shapen and weaved through a beleaguered Texas defense for a 62-yard touchdown, which gave Mississippi State a 38-21 lead with 12:29 to go in the fourth quarter of Saturday’s game in Starkville, I thought about 2010.

Mack Brown’s program carried the weight of a BCS title game loss to Alabama into a season that began with sky-high expectations. Will Muschamp’s defense did what it could to keep the Longhorns afloat, but Greg Davis' listless offense turned the football over enough that the dam eventually broke.

Fifteen years later, the fate of Steve Sarkisian’s club was all but sealed.

The 2010 squad went from a 13-1 juggernaut in 2009 to a 5-7 dumpster fire. Even with a win over Oklahoma sandwiched between road losses to Ohio State and Florida, and last Saturday's 16-13 overtime road win over Kentucky, it felt like the 2025 group was headed in the same direction.

The offense consistently shooting itself in the foot allowed the defense, which was gashed time and again by the Bulldogs, to be overexposed.

Nevertheless, Deonte Anderson’s personal foul penalty for roughing Arch Manning on a failed fourth-and-1 on the ensuing possession after Booth’s touchdown changed everything.

With the drive still alive, Manning connected with Emmett Mosley V for a 21-yard touchdown with 9:34 left in regulation, kickstarting a run of 31 unanswered points. Manning went 12-for-20 for 169 yards and two touchdowns in the fourth quarter, persevering through another game in which he was under constant pressure and got little to no relief from a virtually non-existent running game (72 net yards on 32 carries, including the five times Manning was sacked, which lost a total of 29 yards).

Less than two minutes after Mason Shipley made it a 10-point game with a 26-yard field goal, Ryan Niblett took advantage of Ethan Pulliam's booming 57-yard punt. Pulliam outkicked his coverage down the middle of the field, paving the way for Niblett's game-tying 79-yard touchdown.

The defense, as it did in last Saturday’s overtime victory over the Wildcats in Lexington, allowed only one first down after the Shapen-to-Booth touchdown, ending a miraculous 45-38 triumph on Ethan Burke’s fourth-and-20 walk-off sack in overtime. The stop came on the heels of Matthew Caldwell making the most of his lone pass attempt, relieving an injured Manning and lofting a 10-yard touchdown to Mosley on second-and-8 in overtime.

Texas (6-2, 3-1 SEC) defied logic by rallying from 17 points down in the fourth quarter to win. The Longhorns were dead in the water. The on-field meltdown coming on the same day that off-field news surrounding Sarkisian’s future on the Forty Acres dominated the pregame chatter ahead of the team’s fourth consecutive game away from Royal-Texas Memorial Stadium created a perfect storm for a program to be in complete and utter turmoil at the final gun.

Instead, Sarkisian and the staff will get ready for Texas to welcome a good Vanderbilt team to town next Saturday with all of the team’s season-long goals on the table.

The Longhorns will head home from Starkville with blemishes that could prevent them from reaching their preferred destination. Chief among them is the health of Manning, who had to be helped off the field after taking a shot at the end of a 13-yard run on the first play of overtime, abruptly ending a day in which he threw for 346 yards and accounted for four touchdowns (three passing and one rushing).

Nevertheless, Texas is done with a month’s worth of football games played away from home with only one SEC loss on the ledger. Unlike the 2010 Longhorns, Sarkisian’s club is bowl eligible and had enough about it to escape two road games with a pair of too-close-for-comfort victories.

That’s the bottom line. Texas won back-to-back overtime road games it had little to no business winning.

It remains to be seen what becomes of a season that started with talk of a return to the College Football Playoff and a possible national championship run. For now, Longhorn fans should take comfort in the fact that this team, as flawed as it is, had enough about it to pull out two wins that could’ve easily gone the other way.

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Oldest Horn

Supporters
Just now, philip zapata said:

Just finish watching condensed version on YouTube.  Glad to see this team fight,  but Mississippi state making so many mistakes giving us the opportunity to come back. This o line is sooooo bad. Didn't expect this unit to look like this coming into the season.  

Didn’t our mistakes give Miss St their lead?

Deep in the heart

Supporters

I almost turned the game off like I wanted to last week but I hung in there again. This team is going to give me a heart attack. My goodness.

GoHorns1

Supporters
58 minutes ago, Jeff Howe said:

For me, the issues begin up front and continue with Arch's lack of consistency. Arch is showing signs of getting there, but he's not there yet. As for the offensive line, I'm expecting Texas to be aggressive in the transfer portal.

Extremely aggressive 

4thandFive

Supporters

Arch played really well as the game went along. He’s got the talent.

Good win. HookEm.

SuperDave0805

Supporters

Hate to say it but the aggies look legit 

Hornito

Members

A few longhorns had their potential legacy moments tonight too. 
-Niblet will never be forgotten. 
-Caldwell came in and won the game, saving the program from chaos. 
-Emmett Mosley made his transfer a success. 

AusMOJO

Members
1 hour ago, ECHorn said:

I loved seeing Hill being able to rush the passer for what seems like the first time this year. 

Yeah I don't really understand that, but I thought the front 7 was good today but the secondary did not match that. PK needs to go have a chat with Akina. 

Sark is now 4-3 in OT at Texas in his tenure with at least 1 OT game each year.

56-57 L to Kansas in 2021

34-37 L to Texas Tech in 2022

33-30 W over Kansas State in 2023

19-22 L to Georgia in 2024 (SECCG)

39-31 W over Arizona State in 2024

16-13 W over Kentucky in 2025

45-38 W over Mississippi State in 2025

 

DanielOnorato

Supporters

For all the hate in regards to the portal, Matthew Caldwell was a stellar add. 

DanielOnorato

Supporters
8 minutes ago, AusMOJO said:

Yeah I don't really understand that, but I thought the front 7 was good today but the secondary did not match that. PK needs to go have a chat with Akina. 

Without Taaffe they didn't really disguise anything because I don't think they knew what was coming. The value of players that do little things won't show up in modern day nerds analytical data but shows up in real time on the field is why we actually play the games. I can't wait for healthy Taaffeinator to be back out there. 

2 hours ago, Hornito said:

A few longhorns had their potential legacy moments tonight too. 
-Niblet will never be forgotten. 
-Caldwell came in and won the game, saving the program from chaos. 
-Emmett Mosley made his transfer a success. 

I want to see where the next year and a half takes Mosley. Can see his career take off like a Mathew Golden’s

AusMOJO

Members
3 hours ago, Jeff Howe said:

For me, the issues begin up front and continue with Arch's lack of consistency. Arch is showing signs of getting there, but he's not there yet. As for the offensive line, I'm expecting Texas to be aggressive in the transfer portal.

Are we sure they're going to go in the portal for OL? 

DanielOnorato

Supporters
3 hours ago, Oldest Horn said:

Didn’t our mistakes give Miss St their lead?

Why does any team punt to Ryan Niblett? I'd kick that ball out of bounds every time. I don't know how a team can prepare for Texas and punt him that ball. He is a spectacular returner. 

DanielOnorato

Supporters
3 hours ago, Jeff Howe said:

 

Lance Jackson is a force. Januarys gap discipline is phenomenal. Beautiful finish to an ugly win.

SchoolColors

Members
3 hours ago, RodBismyspiritanimal said:

@Jeff Howe That game took good old fashioned grit. Everyone hates Texas. We get everyone’s best. The boys didn’t back down. The locker room is locked in. If we didn’t have a culture, we would have given up, would have been to easy to just not care. The boys didn’t, they fought it out.  I believe. Apart from my heart trouble now, glad to be a Longhorn fan. Hook ‘Em 

We are just another team in the sec brother. This ain’t the big 12. Other teams care more about their rivals than Texas. 

SchoolColors

Members
(edited)

Sarkisian needs to call every game remaining like it is the 4th quarter of Miss St. he’s so much better as a play caller and moving the ball when he does that instead of trying to force his scheme on the team.  
 

Interesting that the same OL looked like they did in the 4th vs the other 3 quarters when the playbook was simplified to quick hitters and spread out offense. It’s seemed like running easy concepts and blocking schemes allows the players to play more stuff.

 

Edited by SchoolColors

SchoolColors

Members
9 hours ago, DanielOnorato said:

Without Taaffe they didn't really disguise anything because I don't think they knew what was coming. The value of players that do little things won't show up in modern day nerds analytical data but shows up in real time on the field is why we actually play the games. I can't wait for healthy Taaffeinator to be back out there. 

Even with Taffee the back end concepts are meshing well with the front 7. Our situational alignments are also absolutely terrible. For example it is say 3rd and 3 and we have DBs playing 8-10 yards off receivers. That’s easy taking for offense. This same alignments and not knocking receivers off their timing doesn’t allow our front 7 to get home as often as they should be  

 

(edited)
18 minutes ago, SchoolColors said:

Sarkisian needs to call every game remaining like it is the 4th quarter of Miss St. he’s so much better as a play caller and moving the ball when he does that instead of trying to force his scheme on the team.  
 

Interesting that the same OL looked like they did in the 4th vs the other 3 quarters when the playbook was simplified to quick hitters and spread out offense. It’s seemed like running easy concepts and blocking schemes allows the players to play more stuff.

 

The problem is that you can’t really draw up or script what Arch does in those moments. I agree with you that that is when this offense is their best but I don’t know how you recreate it on paper and call it

 

i do think that sark can draw up plays that move the pocket more. Arch seems to like to throw on the move and this OL does a decent job of moving the pocket

Edited by Beard N Balls Bundle

SchoolColors

Members
(edited)
10 minutes ago, Beard N Balls Bundle said:

The problem is that you can’t really draw up or script what Arch does in those moments. I agree with you that that is when this offense is their best but I don’t know how you recreate it on paper and call it

 

i do think that sark can draw up plays that move the pocket more. Arch seems to like to throw on the move and this OL does a decent job of moving the pocket

I think that’s part of what sark just needs to do is not really script. He’s renowned for having a longer script than most. Just limit it to 10-15 plays and react to what your seeing, it makes him so much more effective. Doing that mixed with spreading the offense out makes it easier for everyone to get a read on the defense and even easier when we add the motions. 

Edited by SchoolColors

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