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March Madness Report: Huge opportunity in Waco (Monday 11:30 a.m. CST)

March Madness Report: Huge opportunity in Waco 

Let's begin the Big Monday showdown in Waco with a chance to end a bad streak. The Texas Longhorns have the opportunity to do something tonight the program hasn't accomplished since February 1, 2016 - win at Baylor. That's right, it's been eight years since Texas walked out of the Ferrell Center with a victory. Of course that would be nice, but there are much more important and bigger things on the table tonight. 

With last weeks wins at Texas Tech and Oklahoma State in Austin, the Longhorns are back inside the top 30 of the NCAA NET rankings. Texas begins the week at No. 27. That means Texas is right there on the No. 7 seed line, and in position to avoid the dreaded 8/9 seed game winner against a No. 1 seed in the Round of 32.

A win tonight would unequivocally change the trajectory of Texas' potential seeding in the NCAA Tournament. If Texas pulled the upset (Baylor a 6.5 point favorite), the Horns would have a real shot to move to the 6/7 seed line headed into the regular season finale against arch-rival Oklahoma Saturday. 

OnTexasFootball takes a look at the various rankings and scenarios headed into tonights game. 

Texas NCAA Tournament seeding scenarios

Win at No. 15 Baylor: Texas moves to the 6/7 seed line. Would be a big mover/trajectory win. Would give Texas 6 Quad wins, and five Big 12 road wins. Would give Texas a fourth win over a ranked opponent this season. Would set up a very strong finish to the regular season with shot at 10-8 in Big 12 play. 

Loss at No. 15 Baylor: No pain, unless it's a really bad showing. Baylor is favored by 6.5 for good reason. Texas strength of schedule ascends tonight no matter the outcome. 

Loss at Baylor, and win Saturday against Oklahoma: Would keep Texas on that 7/8 seed line making a win in the Big 12 Tournament paramount. Would be a third Quad 2 win. And get Texas to 20 wins, and a 9-9 Big 12 record. 

Loss at Baylor and to Oklahoma: Texas would be on the 9/10 seed line, and limp into the Big 12 Tournament in need of a win. Would mean 19-12, and 8-10 in Big 12 play. 

Texas’ Remaining Regular Season Schedule
3/4 @ No. 15 Baylor 
3/9 Oklahoma 

NCAA Men’s Basketball NET Rankings (March 1)
Texas is No. 27 in NCAA NET headed into the game tonight. The Horns moved up 13 spots last week from No. 40 with wins at Texas Tech and Oklahoma State in Austin.

The Longhorns are 5-7 in Quad 1 games, 2-2 vs. Quad 2, 3-1 vs. Quad 3 and 8-0 vs. Quad 4. 

Quad 1 games remaining for the Longhorns:
No. 13 @ Baylor 

Quad 2 game remaining:
No. 41 Oklahoma 

T-Rank 
Texas is No. 23 in Bart Torvik’s rankings headed into Monday games.

2024 Ken Pomeroy College Basketball Ratings
Texas checks in at No. 26 headed into this week. Texas began last week at No. 28 prior to the two victories. 

User Feedback

Recommended Comments

ChanmanV

Supporters

Survived with a healthy lead to halftime with Weaver and Disu in foul trouble. Bodes well in the 2nd half when they are back.

NothinButDaHorns34

Supporters

Color me surprised with how this team has played the first half of this game, But it’s gotta continue into the second half.

NothinButDaHorns34

Supporters
8 hours ago, Neil Leininger said:

The Big 12 can make a lot of teams look inconsistent.

I wonder what magic potion U of H has then? Because they don’t look that way 

NothinButDaHorns34

Supporters
(edited)

Here comes the inconsistency part of the consistently inconsistency of the men’s longhorn basketball team. 

Edited by NothinButDaHorns34

Hermanator

Members

Team completely lost focus once Baylor went to a 1-3-1 and Disu went down. Very bad offensive sets and poor defensive rotations. 

Teams that make runs in the tourney can't lose focus like this. This team is close but not quite good enough outside of Abmas who can't win it by himself. 

Neil Leininger

Supporters

Season is over if Disu tore his ACL like it looked like.

Titleist8412

Supporters

I don’t like dumping on our players, but Shedrick got absolutely abused. They targeted him over and over in the second half. 

dentonhorn

Members
8 hours ago, Neil Leininger said:

Season is over if Disu tore his ACL like it looked like.

With Disu the absolute upside would be sweet 16, without, win one is the best. Makes a huge difference but this bunch wasn’t going too far anyway. 

dentonhorn

Members
9 hours ago, Hermanator said:

Team completely lost focus once Baylor went to a 1-3-1 and Disu went down. Very bad offensive sets and poor defensive rotations. 

Teams that make runs in the tourney can't lose focus like this. This team is close but not quite good enough outside of Abmas who can't win it by himself. 

Coaching does matter, you hire a coach with a mediocre resume and you get what you saw on paper. 

  • Moderators

Zero chance to make noise without Disu. And just when Texas was starting to play their best/maximize what they have, of course. 

MBHORNSFAN

Supporters

RT is jag. We will be hiring again in a few years.

agentmule

Supporters
25 minutes ago, Gerry Hamilton said:

Zero chance to make noise without Disu. And just when Texas was starting to play their best/maximize what they have, of course. 

Disu overcame stomach bug only to injure his knee?!? Poor kid.

Robert Maislin

Supporters

@Gerry Hamilton, what % of UT disappointing on the hard wood this year has been a lacking roster vs Terry not being up for the challenge of the job in game?

 

Couldn't help but notice he again chose to not utilize a TO as we let the game slip away last night on Baylor's big 20-4 run.

HookemHorns

Supporters
40 minutes ago, Robert Maislin said:

@Gerry Hamilton, what % of UT disappointing on the hard wood this year has been a lacking roster vs Terry not being up for the challenge of the job in game?

 

Couldn't help but notice he again chose to not utilize a TO as we let the game slip away last night on Baylor's big 20-4 run.

Not Gerry but I think RT did well with the roster we have. The freshman both bailing really hurt the roster construction, and Shedrick/Weaver/Disu all being hurt during the offseason hurt as well. 
 

IMO we need to see how this offseason goes and how next season turns out. If he can get a good team next year between returning players/freshman signees/portal players than he may have a shot at sticking around. 


This roster was poorly constructed but it is what it is and it’s hard to know how much losing those freshman hurt RT’s vision for this team. 
 

Development has been hit and miss. Hunter seems like he has regressed. Weaver is getting better and better. Mitchell has developed but not as much as I hoped. 

Neil Leininger

Supporters
(edited)
28 minutes ago, HookemHorns said:

Not Gerry but I think RT did well with the roster we have. The freshman both bailing really hurt the roster construction, and Shedrick/Weaver/Disu all being hurt during the offseason hurt as well. 
 

IMO we need to see how this offseason goes and how next season turns out. If he can get a good team next year between returning players/freshman signees/portal players than he may have a shot at sticking around. 


This roster was poorly constructed but it is what it is and it’s hard to know how much losing those freshman hurt RT’s vision for this team. 
 

Development has been hit and miss. Hunter seems like he has regressed. Weaver is getting better and better. Mitchell has developed but not as much as I hoped. 

More to the point, you can't turn over your roster every year in the portal. If you take a Kelvin Sampson approach you will have a better baseline.

The only HS kid that signed with Texas and has been the program more than one year is Alex Anamewke and Mitchell, that just isn't sustainable long term. compare that to Houston who has Shead, Sharp, Roberts, Francis, Arceneaux, and Walker. All key contributors though Arceneaux and Walker have been injured this season. 

Edited by Neil Leininger

NoDakHornsFan

Supporters

@Gerry Hamilton Of course hindsight is 20/20 but if you were making the hire last spring would you have hired RT, or hired someone else who reasonably would’ve took the job?

Neil Leininger

Supporters
7 hours ago, dentonhorn said:

Coaching does matter, you hire a coach with a mediocre resume and you get what you saw on paper. 

So what would say about a coach on his 3rd team that had a 205-140 (.594) overall record, with a 2-4 tournament record was?

dentonhorn

Members
21 minutes ago, Neil Leininger said:

So what would say about a coach on his 3rd team that had a 205-140 (.594) overall record, with a 2-4 tournament record was?

What league did that coach participate in? 

Neil Leininger

Supporters
23 minutes ago, dentonhorn said:

What league did that coach participate in? 

NEC, A10, AAC, and Big East.

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